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Monday, February 11, 2008

$44.6 Billion?

 
February 11, 2008  
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$44.6 Billion?

Microsoft and Yahoo made news headlines again this week. On Friday, Microsoft made Yahoo a takeover bid of $44.6 billion. Yahoo declined today stating the offer “substantially undervalues” the company’s worth.

Yes, that is right – they rejected $44.6 billion!

This is an interesting response when you take into account Yahoo stocks have been on a downhill slide since the fall of 2007, a layoff of 1000 employees by mid-February was recently announced and Yahoo recorded returns of -32% over the last 12 months. Without a competitive offer in the picture I would think Yahoo shareholders are scratching their heads- especially given that Microsoft was offering a 67% premium over the share price?

It is early and a lot of things can happen. Yahoo has taken a bold stance because if Microsoft walks away again it could cause Yahoo stocks values to drop even further.  A hostile takeover is possible, but Yahoo has a "poison pill" to thwart that action. A poison pill is a defense posture whereby potential purchasers can be scared off by giving the target company’s Board the power to trigger nasty side effects. In Yahoo's case, in March of 2001, they adopted a "stockholder rights plan" under which if anyone buys 15 percent or more of its stock, the shareholders have the right to buy extra shares. This has the effect of not only diluting the shares but making a hostile takeover much more expensive.

Hmmm…I see lawsuits on the horizon.

A successful sale would be beneficial to both parties. Together they would be a powerful force against Google as a Web search engine, for search advertising and Web based applications.

Strategically I think Microsoft once again has the upper hand and a deal will be sealed in the next few months.

Deb Alloway
Editor

 

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